Friday, May 09, 2008

The Astrology of Peak Oil

Peak Oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global petroleum production is reached, after which the rate of production enters its terminal decline. (Wiki)

I’ve always thought that however much we are exhorted to use less petrol etc, it’s not going to happen while it remains affordable, and it will remain affordable until demand starts to significantly outstrip supply. i.e. Peak Oil.

I’m cynical about the extent to which the burning of oil is held to be responsible for global warming, because the issue has been politicised to such a degree. Even if we are the main cause of global warming, nothing is going to stop us using up the oil until it starts to run out. For all the attempts to get global agreements, we have still continued collectively to increase our use of oil.

I have no hopes of the politicians being effective, and the current biofuel fiasco proves the point. On one level biofuel is a nice idea, but any intelligent person can see it will lead to food shortages. Because the issue was politicised, intelligence went out the window. It wasn’t the individual politicians who were stupid, it was the stupidity that so often arises when you have a collective taking action.

The main problem with the use of oil in my opinion is that it is a limited resource, and our civilisation has come to depend heavily on it. This is why Peak Oil is such a significant point, because it will force significant change to where we get our energy from and even maybe a realisation that we need to use less energy. Until that point is reached, we will just be playing with alternative energy technologies.

The big question is when will peak oil be reached? Nobody knows, and there are plenty of theories about when. What we do know is that most of the countries that produce significant quantities of oil, e.g. Iran, USA, UK and possibly Russia, have already peaked. This is very telling.

The issue is complicated by the possibility of using non-conventional sources of oil, such as oil sands, where extraction is harder, but which becomes more economically feasible as the price of oil increases.


Click to Enlarge

The chart for the first Oil Strike is set for 28 Aug 1859 at 4pm in Titusville, Pennsylvania. Neptune is the symbol for Oil, and we find Neptune at 26 Pisces in the 2nd House of wealth and resources, which sounds about right. Pluto is conjunct the IC, revealing Oil to be a source of power. And the Node is in Aquarius conjunct Chiron, showing the potential for damage (Chiron) inherent in its use, particularly when combined with the scientific mind (Aquarius). Interestingly, the chart for the first man-made nuclear chain reaction also has a Chiron-Node conjunction.

In July this year, there will again be a Chiron-Node conjunction, and what is really remarkable is that it will be at 19.16 Aquarius, just a few minutes of a degree off the almost exact conjunction in the First Oil Strike chart. It's almost as if there is some sort of reckoning coming up, the need for a collective understanding that oil is not to be relied on in the way we have relied on it.

What I am particularly interested in is the Progressed Pluto of the Oil Strike chart. In the chart of a nation, a change in direction of Progressed Pluto can mark the rise and fall of that nation’s fortunes, of its power (Pluto).

This works well, for example, in the case of the rise and fall of the British Empire in the UK 1801 Chart. It works in the case of China, whose Prog Pluto changed direction in the late nineties as she began her rise to becoming a world economic power.

The US Prog Pluto will not change direction for another 70 years, which sounds about right to me. People have for years been quick to announce that the US is effectively bankrupt and owned by Japan, or owned by China, and that the end is nigh. But actually its economy is still several times the size of its nearest rival. We are likely to see the size of that difference narrowing in future decades, particularly because of China, and maybe the EU if it pulls together more. But I think it will still be a long time before the US is challenged as the main power in the world. 2076, that’s the year to look out for!

In the case of the chart for Oil, Progressed Pluto changed direction in 2004. There you have it. It is still stationing, and will not start to move again until 2014. We may not know when Peak Oil is going to be reached, but the astrology seems to be saying that actually we have pretty much reached it already (as some people do claim). However, we will only fully know this in hindsight, as Prog Pluto begins to move again from 2014 onwards - the same year that transiting Pluto conjoins the ASC of the Oil Chart.

Pluto squared natal Neptune at 26 Pisces in 2006, a further indication that Peak Oil may have been reached in recent years.

The price of oil has risen dramatically in recent months. There are all sorts of reasons for this. But if the astrology is right, one underlying reason would be the sense that there is a growing and permanent supply problem. It is perfect that Pluto should be entering Capricorn as this happens, because it reflects the deep structural change that will be necessary to solve the problem.


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5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Good post...it's same topic to talk about that from www.drturi.com

Anonymous said...

you are on a roll!!! one great analysis after another- thank-you for your insight into the collective.

Viviene said...

Interesting post DR

Agree about the biofuel fiasco, merely helping to 'fuel' the global food crisis.

One interesting technology in this regard is CTL...Coal to Liquids. Whilst this is not a new idea (the germans used it in WW2)...there have been radical improvements in the process.

Indeed a little company in OZ is on the verge of demonstrating their unique combination of UCG (underground coal gas) with coal-to-liquids. In other words, these guys are going to be able to convert coal to gas and then to liquids (high quality diesel and jetfuel) all UNDERGROUND!

This is new....and should be able to produce a barrel of diesel for US$25 a barrel...absolutely amazing considering we are now hearing about oil going to $200 a barrel!!

The other good thing about the process (which is a clean coal initiative) is that it utilises 'stranded' coal deposits (ie previously uneconomic to access using traditional methods)

We actually have about 1000 years worth of these deposits globally.

Interesting....i might just do a chart for the company...they are about to produce their first synthetic diesel in about a month from their new demonstration plant.

cheers

Anonymous said...

excellent entry sir... the change is in the air... just like in Mary Poppins. the long oil dream is coming down to earth

dawa satso said...

Knowing this comment won't be read so long after the fact, peak oil has long been anticipated, new fuel technologies and electric cars have long been suppressed and unavailable to the public until quite recently.
So, americans (I'm lst generation from quebec) are not freaking out in suprise. We've been long expecting this (about 35 years) without access to alternatives.
Our jobs are outsourced and manufacturing sent overseas. Didja know Seventh Generation who uses recycled materials manufactures in the UK.
We are not stupid. We've been had on all sides and our better instincts denied.