Who Will Win the Next UK Election?

Back in November I wrote a post predicting that Sarah Palin would enter, but not win, the 2012 US Presidential race. I began with a quote from political astrologer Nancy: “I have always maintained that to win a presidential election, especially a first term, Venus, the planet of love, is key.” And I went on to show that Palin’s Venus would not be in good shape for that election.

Venus reflects popularity in a politician, so it makes sense that you need it in good shape to win. In the UK, we probably won’t have an election until Spring 2010, the latest time possible. Gordon Brown has ruled out an election this year, and seems to mean it. Since becoming PM in 2007 he has had a mixed ride in the polls. But having come in at the tail-end of a long period of Labour government, he has always tended to lag behind.

There was initially a ‘Brown bounce’ in the polls, and he nearly called an election in autumn 2007 on the strength of it. But then the Tories pulled out the stops at their conference, Brown backed down, and he acquired a reputation for indecisiveness and lack of boldness that has dogged him ever since. His efforts to tackle the financial crisis have, however, helped him in the polls. He has at times drawn ahead of the Tories on the economy, though remaining behind overall. Recently, the Tories have drawn ahead again on the economy.

So who is going to win the next election? I will first declare my interest: I don’t find either leader very inspiring, Cameron because I think he is lightweight, Brown because he caused much of the economic mess in the first place. Overall, though, I prefer Brown, because I think he is more substantial than Cameron.


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In April/May 2010 we find the following transiting Venus aspects for Cameron: Mars sextile, Venus trine and the big one, Pluto square.

For his Prog Venus we have the following transits: Mars trine, Venus opposite, Jupiter trine and Neptune square.

We also find natal Jupiter trine prog Venus.


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For Brown there is a much simpler picture: we just find Jupiter conjunct natal Venus and tr Venus conjunct natal Venus.

So what can we make of all this? Brown does not have anything transformational going on around his Venus next year. Saturn, the planet of earned outcomes, will have finished opposing it this coming autumn. So I think the public will have made up its mind about Brown by then, based on 2 and ½ years of his leadership – and a lot of that public opinion, presumably, will centre on his handling of the economy.

Widening the Brown picture, Pluto will just have made its first crossing of his MC. So it will be a very significant time for him in terms of his career (MC) and whether he loses power (Pluto) or gains it through being, for the first time, voted in. He is currently experiencing Pluto conjunct Chiron, which is important because natal Chiron is conjunct his MC. To start with this transit floored him, and he has had to pick himself up off the ground. But he has done so, and as Pluto makes its final conjunction, he is no longer the hopeless, wounded leader that he seemed for a while.

All the same, it does not look that exciting or promising by the time of the probable election.

As for Cameron, we have the start of a big transit to Venus, the Pluto square. Technically this is difficult and not too promising. But Obama was going through a Pluto opposite Venus transit when he was elected, and it forced certain issues (e.g. Rev Wright) that he successfully addressed. Cameron’s transit won’t be yet exact, but it will still be operative.

I think, however, that with the favourable minor transits working around his Natal and Prog Venus, the Pluto transit is more likely to be an empowerment, rather than a disempowerment, of his popularity.

A Spring election would more generally be a powerful time for Cameron, just as it will be for Brown. The Saturn-Uranus opposition will be hard-aspecting all his Angles. So it will be a very dynamic time for him, as he balances Conservatism (Saturn) with the need to stand for the future (Uranus).

The British electorate will be in the mood for a change after 13 years of Labour, however competently Brown manages the financial crisis. Putting this together with the astrology, my money is on Cameron. Besides, electorates always go for the more sexy, energetic one.