On Jan 23 I predicted from a combination of the polls and Gordon Brown’s and David Cameron’s charts that the Tories would win the next election. I’m now going to argue the opposite. I reckon that if you use just straight astrology, and ignore the opinion polls etc, that Gordon Brown is definitely favoured over David Cameron. As an astrologer, I have to give most weight to this sort of argument.
I’m going to be slightly more deterministic in my astrology than I would for an ordinary reading, because politicians are often very wilfully driven and involved in collective currents, so there tends to be less personal choice in what they do. I confess I want Labour to win, but I think this analysis is impartial. When I say Brown will beat Cameron, that is all I am saying: I am not even necessarily saying an overall majority.
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The big transits in Gordon Brown’s chart this year are Pluto conjunct MC, Neptune conjunct Sun (early stages of), Uranus conjunct Venus (late stages of), Saturn Return and Saturn square MC. I argued last time that this combination, particularly what Neptune and Pluto are doing, is too big for Gordon Brown to be continuing in the same job, albeit with a mandate from the electorate. I may be right, but as I said, I’m going to try and just use astrology. And Pluto conjunct MC and Neptune conjunct Sun speak of a deep re-empowerment of career (Pluto/MC) together with a deep letting go of old rigidities and new inspiration (Neptune/Sun). These transits are conjunctions, the easiest of the ‘hard’ transits. So I wouldn’t expect to see him being slung out of a job that, like any politician, he really wants.
Venus in a politician describes popular appeal. It is likely to continue to be unsteady as his Uranus-Venus transit continues, but again it is a conjunction, so popular opinion at worst is not likely to swing wildly against him.
Brown’s Saturn Return is also fine, particularly as it is his second one, which is generally smoother than the first. The only clearly difficult transit is Saturn square MC: to fulfil his ambitions (MC) he will have to measure up (Saturn) and this will be testing (Square). On the other hand, Brown has natal Saturn square MC, so he has had 59 years to get used to this aspect, which concerns overcoming the difficulties and obstacles which lie in the way of his ambitions. So in this context, I don’t see it as particularly difficult, more like business as usual.
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As for David Cameron, his transits are Pluto square Asc and opposite MC (late stages of), Pluto square Venus (early stages), Neptune opposite Mars, Uranus opposite Asc and square MC and Saturn conjunct Asc and conjunct Venus. I find the Neptune opposite Mars particularly indicative: it does not suggest someone who is about to become a decisive leader, rather the opposite. Mars being in the 11th, the transit could be read as someone whose personal drive inspires the collective, but he doesn’t seem to be that sort of politician if you look for Neptune in his natal chart or transits (cf Tony Blair, whose period in office was characterised by Neptune transits). Besides, the transit is an opposition.
So David Cameron has all 3 outer planets making squares or oppositions to his chart. An exceptional politician could dynamically swing this to his advantage (like Obama swung transiting Pluto opposite Venus/popularity to his advantage). But in his 4 years as leader of the Tories, Cameron hasn’t generated the sort of excitement and impact you’d expect from a politician of that calibre (this is a non-astrological judgement, but I think even a Tory would agree with that, while appreciating what he has nevertheless done for the Party.)
The only transits that are not unfavourable are from Saturn. But as a leader, Cameron is still young – he is 43 – and at that age, Saturn’s lessons usually still need to be learned. So Saturn is probably not yet on his side, and that Saturn-Venus (popularity) transit looks particularly sticky.
So I have to conclude, as an astrologer, that Gordon Brown will defeat David Cameron in this year’s General Election. Brown will experience this as a deep renewal, whereas it will be the end for Cameron as Tory leader, because the planets are so against him. With Virgo Rising and Saturn-Chiron in the 6th, I think he would make a good Minister for Health in the next Tory administration. But with Pluto square Sun coming up in a few years, he could leave politics by the following General Election.