Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Why Marine Le Pen will be the next French President

Last summer a Frenchwoman told me that if there were a referendum in France on the EU, they would vote leave. I don’t know if a vote would actually go that way, but it is indicative of popular sentiment. A referendum on the constitution in Italy at the end of last year turned into a referendum on the EU, and the anti-vote won. In Finland, severe curbs are being placed on immigration. Austria has just banned the wearing of the veil in public.

Across Europe and the US, we are seeing a swing to the right politically, and a re-assertion of the nation state in the face of globalisation. The last time there was a Uranus-Pluto square – the early thirties – there was a Depression followed by a swing to the right across Europe, triggered by the economic difficulties. America avoided that political swing in the thirties, but not this time.

This new political mood has not yet taken form on mainland Europe, but that is simply because there have not been elections. As I wrote previously, the 2 big political events this year will be the French and German elections, and we can expect swings to the right, but not in the normal sense: it will not be business as usual, albeit with a conservative tinge. It will be something quite different, as we have already seen in the US and the UK.

A new era is being born. Uranus still has one more conjunction with Eris. This series of conjunctions describes the shocks to the system, people hardly able to believe what has happened, the deep dismay many of us have experienced: the inexorable progress of western democratic liberalism, 'the end of history', stopped in its tracks, reversed by a bunch of insular racists and rednecks. That's how it can seem. But civilisations rise and fall, values change.

And Marine Le Pen is likely to be the next President of France. She is leader of the National Front, a previously extreme right-wing party, led for a long time by her father, but whose positions and image she has softened (and this has included expelling her father from the party.) But it’s still pretty right-wing.

Marine Le Pen
She is economically protectionist, and wants France to leave the Eurozone, as well as the Schengen Area, which allows people to move freely between countries. She is opposed to the 2007 Treaty of Lisbon, the most recent step in the political integration of the EU. She sees 2017 as a year in which nation states will be reborn across Europe, a domino effect coming out of the Brexit and Trump votes.

She is to all intents and purposes a Frexiteer, and she is narrowly ahead in the polls.

So now for some astrology. I don’t think astrology on its own can make successful predictions: for example, there are plenty of people born at the same time as Marine Le Pen, they will have the same chart, but they will not be President because they are not politicians. So we have to combine astrology with available information.

To make a prediction of this sort I look at 3 things: does the politician have popular appeal; does their chart make strong connections with the national chart; and do they have major transits empowering their charts in the coming years?

There are 3 main candidates: the socialist Benoit Hamon, the centre-right Francois Fillon, and Marine Le Pen. I can't say much about charisma, popular appeal, because I'm not that clued up to French politics. But the other 2 factors I can say something about.

Benoit Hamon
I’m ruling out Hamon because his recent major transit (Pluto opp Asc) is finishing, and there is no new major transit for some years. Also, his chart only makes one strong connection with the French Chart: his Asc conjoins the French Moon. (Update: Since writing this, Emmanuel Macron's popularity has increased; I hadn't mentioned him because he fails on both astrological criteria, and that remains.)

Francois Fillon
Fillon likewise has just one strong connection with the French chart: his North Node is opposite the French Moon. As for transits, Pluto finished with his Angles a year or two ago, but has still to conjoin his Node. Also, he has Neptune conjoining his Sun over the next couple of years, and Saturn moving onto his Angles. So the transits are there, but I’m a bit suspicious of the major one, Neptune conjunct Sun. 

It could be the transit of a popular redeemer – Tony Blair was empowered by Neptune throughout his time as Labour leader – but I think you have to come from nowhere to achieve that. You can’t be a redeemer if you have a track record in power – and Fillon used to be Prime Minister – because then people know you, and being a redeemer is dependent on people not knowing you (like Obama, with his natal Sun square Naeptune), so they can project their hopes onto you. I think Neptune in Fillon’s case is therefore more likely to suggest him leaving politics. The current investigation into alleged improper payments to his wife, even though it may turn out to be a non-story, seems indicative of this.

Marine Le Pen
And then there is Marine Le Pen. Her Asc-Node-Saturn conjoins/opposes the French Sun-Node Asc (these are fairly wide stelliums, but together they add up to something very strong). And her MC-Mars in Cancer conjoins the French Moon-IC in Cancer. And then her Capricorn Moon conjoins the French MC.

So she has an extremely powerful connection with modern France (the chart I am using), far more so than the other candidates.

As for transits, over the next 3 years she has Pluto opposing her MC, and Saturn hard aspecting her Moon and Angles.

So I expect Marine Le Pen to be President, and to be very effective in bringing about change for the 1st few years of her Presidency. After that, her transits will dry up and she will become less effective. (When I say ‘effective’, I mean that she will achieve much of what she sets out to achieve: it does not suggest I either agree or disagree with what she does, that is not my job as an astrologer.)

One further argument in favour of Le Pen: in the next few years France will be coming out of a long period in which Pluto and Uranus will have hard aspected the country's Sun, Moon, Node and Angles. This is huge. Le Pen is the only candidate with the radiclaism to bring about the level of change that the outcome of this series of transits requires. France will be a very different country in 2 to 3 years time, or sooner, with a very different relationship to the EU.

Meanwhile, Theresa May has been clever in delaying the start of the Brexit negotiations (ie triggering article 50) until the end of March, a few weeks before the French elections. We are likely to see a French President who would like to see for France what the UK is claiming for itself, and that could change the whole process: it’s like all bets are off as to the outcome.


Anonymous said...

Fascinating. I hope its not bad form to talk about another astrologer, but David Cochrane posted a video on YouTube recently that you might find interesting about how these current trends link in to the current harmonic relationship between pluto and neptune (its the 13th harmonic).

Anonymous said...

Interesting to see her chart, a mix of essential indignities and accidental dignities. As a tropical chart, we see the ascendant ruler in aspect with Saturn in its fall in Aries, but in an angular house. The most elevated body is Mars, also in its fall in Cancer, and it squares the Saturn placement. The Moon is also in its fall in Capricorn. This chart "oozes" spleen.

Switching to a sidereal reckoning, as is my wont, the Mars and Saturn debilities hold, but the ascendant and descendant ruler becomes Mercury, which conjoins the Sun in the 10th. She then becomes a wily speakerhead of a movement.

In either reckoning, there's something "irresistibly repulsive" about her.

Thanks for the post.

Iris said...

This is nothing to do with astrology (my comment) but is to do with the French election and Marie Le Pen. I met a Frenchman last week who may have just opened his mouth and let his belly rumble but he said that there were so many Arabs (les Pieds Noirs) living in France now that they would never vote a woman in !!!

Anonymous said...

Total fail! Emmanuel Macron is the new French President.